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State of the agent economy

Live measurement of the agent web: supply funnel, live-rate by ecosystem, protocol adoption, inflow concentration, and 30-day growth. Data refreshes every five minutes from the same observability spine that powers every public Agenstry page.

As of 2026-08-20 16:01:33 UTC methodology JSON CSV cite this archive
Weekly briefing · 2026-W28 archived view
Jul 6, 2026

This week saw a huge expansion in our coverage of the agent economy: the total indexed agents jumped 35.4% to 4,235 (up from 3,129 last week) thanks to a scanning burst (1,319 new agents in 30d, a 345.6% increase)【funnel data】. Live agents also rose modestly (+8.8% to 248), but on-chain revenue remained tiny and concentrated: 21 agents earned a total of $491.02 over 30 days (unchanged from last week), with a median of $6.31 and the top 5 agents taking 79.2% of revenues (Gini 0.683)【concentration data】. In short, discovery is surging but active commerce is still limited to a few players. Beyond our data, the broader ecosystem saw new funding and infrastructure shifts in AI agents and payments.

Where the money is flowing

Venture and corporate investment continues to plunge capital into agent-related startups and infrastructure. A recent analysis notes that funding is highly concentrated in a few categories (foundation-model labs, developer agents, and infrastructure) (gravity.fast). Indeed, Cognition (developer of the “Devin” coding agent) led the quarter with a >$1 billion round at a $26 b valuation (gravity.fast). Application-layer agents also attracted capital: for example, Lassie raised $35 million Series A led by a16z to automate administrative work in small businesses (www.businesswire.com), Pace raised $46 million Series B (Thrive/Sequoia) to expand its AI-based insurance-workflow platform (fintech.global), and F2 raised $24 million (HighlandX-led) to roll out its LLM-driven deal-underwriting agents across private credit firms (www.businesswire.com). These deals echo a trend: agents that tackle high-value vertical workflows (finance, insurance, SMB ops) can raise millions, even if they remain far smaller than the foundation-model giants.

Meanwhile, payments and platform incumbents are building rails for agents. Visa announced integration of its card network into ChatGPT, enabling AI agents in the chatbot to “independently shop and complete transactions” for users (apnews.com). AWS has previewed an “AgentCore Payments” system in Amazon Bedrock with Coinbase and Stripe, letting agents pay for APIs and content using Stablecoins via Coinbase’s x402 protocol (www.techradar.com). In each case, the pattern is clear: major players are wiring Visa/cryptocurrency rails into AI systems so that software agents can transact at scale. These initiatives suggest that dollars (and stablecoins) will flow through agents as infrastructure supports it.

Weekly new agents discovered (by cohort)0380759agents2026-W202026-W28

Chart: New agent endpoints discovered each week (cohort count). The spike in week 2026-W28 is driving up our indexed totals.

Protocols and standards

Standardization efforts are advancing in parallel. On payments and trust, industry consortia (FIDO Alliance and partners) are defining agentic credentials. In April FIDO launched an Agentic Authentication working group to build on Google’s AP2 and Mastercard’s Verifiable Intent contributions (finance.yahoo.com). Its charter covers “Verifiable User Instructions” and “Trusted Delegation for Commerce,” i.e. new protocols for agent authorization and transaction intent (finance.yahoo.com) (finance.yahoo.com). (Tech commentary also highlights that identity frameworks like W3C DIDs and FIDO-based AP2/Verifiable Intent are crucial for verifying which agent is acting and on whose behalf (www.techradar.com).)

Tool-facing protocols are maturing too. Analysis suggests that most developers should deploy the Model Context Protocol (MCP) first – it already has native IDE support and thousands of servers (PulseMCP catalog ~10k) (www.augmentcode.com) – and add Agent-to-Agent (A2A) later for peer-to-peer workflows. MCP is widely implemented (VS Code GA in July 2025, SDKs, etc), whereas A2A currently has no major IDE with out-of-the-box support (www.augmentcode.com). In practice, that means many agent tools can hook into MCP today, but the full A2A handoff (agent delegating tasks to another agent) is still emergent in the ecosystem.

On data schemas, projects are codifying agent metadata. The Open Agentic Schema Framework (OASF) provides JSON schemas for agent attributes, capabilities, and relationships (reputagent.com). And the Open Standard Agents (OSSA) “Agent Contract” spec just reached v0.5.0 (June 2026 stable) – formalizing how to declare an agent’s identity, trust boundaries, capabilities and governance before deployment (openstandardagents.org). These standards complement payments: notably the x402 protocol (extending HTTP 402 for machine payments) is gaining traction. Coinbase’s x402 has been integrated into AWS (via Bedrock) (www.techradar.com) and even extended to new platforms (e.g. XRP Ledger support (xrpl.org)). An industry perspective reports that x402 is being adopted by Cloudflare, Google and Visa (and is hosted by the Linux Foundation) and has already handled over 119 million transactions (www.lemonde.fr).

Agents by protocol kinda2a_agent2.0Kpaid_api1.8Kworkflow92a2a3.00

Chart: Count of discovered agents by declared protocological kind. “a2a_agent” (Anthropic’s A2A-compatible mode) is common, while standalone A2A entries remain very few. Any financial integration will likely flow through the more prevalent MCP/x402 rails.

Security and governance

As the tech stack matures, research is highlighting risks and gaps. A new study likens AI agents to operating systems and surveys common attack vectors in open-source “OpenClaw”-style agents. It finds that many current protection mechanisms fail under relatively weak attacks, and that agent vulnerabilities can often be mitigated with well-established OS security techniques (arxiv.org) (arxiv.org). In short, securing agents will require system-level defenses (sandboxing, privilege isolation, etc) similar to traditional software.

Governance is another concern. A recent preprint conducts a “gap analysis” of agent protocols (MCP, A2A, ACP, ANP, ERC-8004) and finds they lack primitives for group decision-making: things like voting, dissent resolution, and human escalation are universally absent (arxiv.org). In other words, today’s standards cover discovery, messaging, and payments, but not how an agent community should govern itself. The authors conclude that “agent community governance” will require an extra architectural layer on top of existing protocols.

Economic alignment is also under study. One team’s simulator (“Agent Bazaar”) shows that autonomous agents interacting in markets can easily break them – for example by amplifying price swings (“Jeopardy-style crash”) or by using sybil identities to flood a marketplace with fake bids (arxiv.org). In those tests, merely increasing model size did not prevent failure. They had to specially train agents with new objectives (rewarding stability and honesty) to make the markets resilient (arxiv.org). This suggests that agentic commerce won’t self-stabilize without deliberate design and alignment.

In broader discussion, analysts note that stablecoins (now moving ~$46 trillion/year (www.lemonde.fr)) are already acting as the backbone of internet payments, including agent transactions. One commentary warns that tax/regulatory frameworks lag reality: e.g. in France stablecoins can be converted “tax-free” unless cashed out, creating fiscal distortion (www.lemonde.fr). If regulators want to encourage a healthy agent-driven economy, many argue they should clarify how crypto payment rails and agent autorization are treated under law.

What to watch next week

The coming days may bring further clarity on the standards and economic side of this ecosystem. In particular, keep an eye on any announcements from the FIDO Alliance’s new agentic-working groups (AP2/Verifiable Intent), as they will shape the official trust framework for agents. On the policy front, legislative or regulatory moves around stablecoins and digital payments could also impact how easily agents can transact (watch for updates in late-July on EU crypto rules, for instance).

Sources

  1. AI Agent Startup Funding Tracker: Q2 2026 | Gravity
  2. AI Agent Startup Funding Tracker: Q2 2026 | Gravity
  3. Lassie Raises $35M Led by Andreessen Horowitz to Build AI for Small Businesses to Run Themselves
  4. Pace lands $46m funding round to automate insurance workflows
  5. F2 Raises $24M to Deploy LLM-Agnostic Operating System across Private Credit & Commercial Banks
  6. Visa plugs its payment network into ChatGPT, letting AI agents shop and pay for users
  7. 'The stakes are high: a misconfigured payment flow doesn't just produce a bad answer, it moves real money': Amazon Bedrock teams up with Coinbase and Stripe to let AI agents carry out transactions using stablecoins
  8. FIDO Alliance to Develop Standards for Trusted AI Agent Interactions
  9. FIDO Alliance to Develop Standards for Trusted AI Agent Interactions
  10. FIDO Alliance to Develop Standards for Trusted AI Agent Interactions
  11. Know your agent: building the foundation of autonomous commerce
  12. A2A vs MCP for AI Coding Tool Interop (2026) | Augment Code
  13. Open Agentic Schema Framework (OASF) Protocol Overview | ReputAgent
  14. OSSA Specification: The Normative Contract for AI Agents | OSSA — Open Standard Agents
  15. Agentic Payments with X402 on the XRP Ledger
  16. 'France has six months to catch the next industrial wave of agentic AI'
  17. Toward Securing AI Agents Like Operating Systems
  18. Toward Securing AI Agents Like Operating Systems
  19. Governance Gaps in Agent Interoperability Protocols: What MCP, A2A, and ACP Cannot Express
  20. Agent Bazaar: Enabling Economic Alignment in Multi-Agent Marketplaces
1 · Supply funnel

Most of the agent economy is indexed, not yet operational.

Counting agents conflates supply with operation. Below is the corpus broken into five stages: what fraction of indexed agents pass each gate. The decay curve is the honest read on how mature the agent web is at any given moment.

Stage Count % of indexed Definition
Indexed 6,827
100.0%
Every candidate we have seen across every source.
Valid card 5,294
77.5%
Returned a parseable A2A/MCP card on probe.
Live 502
7.4%
Live JSON-RPC / introspectable MCP.
Signed 62
0.9%
Card published with a JWS signature.
Earning (30d) 1,903
27.9%
Agents where we observed inbound USDC/EURC settlement to their declared x402 payTo wallet. Measured over the wallets scanned so far (1404 of 1477 with a wallet) — not an ecosystem-wide total.
2 · Live-rate by ecosystem

Which source registries actually ship live agents.

Each row shows one source registry (Anthropic's MCP directory, Smithery, Glama, Postman, GitHub well-knowns, Wayback CDX scans) alongside how many of the agents it lists actually respond live on probe. The gap between seen-count and live-count is the source's effective freshness.

Source Seen Live Live rate
recrawl_hot 3,114 374 12.0%
agentic_market 2,753 66 2.4%
recrawl_warm 2,444 168 6.9%
mcp_registry 1,644 221 13.4%
cdp_discovery 1,286 36 2.8%
manifests 873 90 10.3%
github_code 760 66 8.7%
lists 481 19 4.0%
x402_list 368 16 4.3%
registry 337 185 54.9%
recrawl_cold 290 2 0.7%
n8n_workflows 194 0 0.0%
github_topics 149 4 2.7%
a2aregistry 114 87 76.3%
smithery 89 10 11.2%
3a · By protocol kind

A2A vs MCP vs paid_api

paid_api
3,427
a2a_agent
1,863
a2a
4
3b · By observed payment-protocol label

Index composition, not global market share. x402 has multiple dedicated catalogs and a live HTTP probe; AP2, L402 and Stripe ACP are predominantly visible only when cards declare them.

x402 / AP2 / Stripe MPP / L402

x402
3,448
mpp
83
a2a_x402
23
ap2
19
l402
3
stripe_spt
1
3b · Evidence grade

How we know they take payment

273 of 3,577 payment-labelled agents (7.6%) proved it themselves — their own endpoint answered an unpaid request with an HTTP 402 challenge, or the host serves a /.well-known/x402 manifest. The rest is declared in a static agent card or described by a third-party catalog.

Facilitator feed
2,013
Catalog listing
963
Agent card
221
Live 402 challenge
195
Official protocol directory
82
/.well-known/x402
74
Not re-probed yet
25
mpp_challenge
4
3c · Indexed protocol labels over time · last 12 weeks

Newly indexed agents per week, by payment label

Changes reflect both ecosystem activity and changes in crawler source coverage.

2026-W22 · a2a_x402: 2 2026-W22 · ap2: 1 2026-W22 · x402: 1 22 2026-W23 · x402: 7 2026-W24 · ap2: 1 2026-W24 · l402: 1 2026-W24 · x402: 7 24 2026-W25 · a2a_x402: 1 2026-W25 · ap2: 2 2026-W25 · x402: 17 2026-W26 · ap2: 1 2026-W26 · x402: 6 26 2026-W27 · a2a_x402: 4 2026-W27 · x402: 9 2026-W28 · a2a_x402: 2 2026-W28 · x402: 1144 28 2026-W29 · a2a_x402: 1 2026-W29 · ap2: 1 2026-W29 · mpp: 1 2026-W29 · x402: 245 2026-W30 · a2a_x402: 2 2026-W30 · x402: 302 30 2026-W31 · a2a_x402: 1 2026-W31 · ap2: 1 2026-W31 · mpp: 81 2026-W31 · x402: 260 2026-W32 · a2a_x402: 3 2026-W32 · ap2: 2 2026-W32 · x402: 224 32 2026-W33 · a2a_x402: 4 2026-W33 · ap2: 3 2026-W33 · x402: 223 2026-W34 · x402: 136 34
a2a_x402 ap2 l402 mpp x402
4 · Inflow concentration · 30d

A few settlement wallets receive most of the money.

Across 926 earning wallets backing 1,903 linked services, the distribution is heavily power-law. Wallet-level Gini and HHI avoid multiplying transfers when several catalog entries share one recipient.

Observed inflow · 30d
$256062.47
Recipient wallets
926
Median · wallet
$0.266
p95 · wallet
$45.81
Top 1 share
69.8%
Top 5 share
94.1%
Gini
0.994
extreme inequality
HHI
5058
highly concentrated
5 · 30-day growth

New agents arriving daily, by first-seen.

Daily count of agents we discovered for the first time. Sourced from every registry + open-web crawl we run.

2026-07-22 peak 331/day 2026-08-20
New agents · 30d
+1,679
Earning agents · 30d
1,913
observed in the snapshot table
6 · Demand gaps

What the market asked for and didn't get.

Every section above measures the supply we indexed. This one measures demand we couldn't serve: clustered search intents — from browsers, AI assistants and agents calling our A2A and MCP endpoints — where the index returned nothing or almost nothing. Aggregate only, and shown only for intents searched by enough distinct sources to be a market signal rather than one person's session.

Intent Demand Unmet Trend
audio transcription very active 56% rising

Full list + method: what the agent economy is missing. Building one of these? Add pay-per-call payments to your API →

Cite this report

Public domain numbers (CC BY 4.0). Pick the format that fits. The page auto-updates so the URL is the canonical pointer; the date stamps the snapshot you cited.

Plain text
Agenstry Research. "State of the Agent Economy." Accessed 2026-08-20. https://agenstry.com/reports/state-of-agent-economy
BibTeX
@misc{ '{' }}agenstry_state_of_agent_economy,
  title  = {State of the Agent Economy},
  author = {Agenstry Research},
  url    = {https://agenstry.com/reports/state-of-agent-economy},
  note   = {Accessed 2026-08-20},
  year   = {2026}
}
Embed (iframe)
<iframe src="https://agenstry.com/reports/state-of-agent-economy" width="100%" height="900" frameborder="0"></iframe>
Scope What this report measures, and what it doesn't

All inflow numbers are on-chain: direct eth_getLogs scans of USDC Transfer events (plus EURC on Base + Ethereum) into each indexed agent's payment_wallet across Base, Ethereum, Polygon, Arbitrum, Optimism (EVM via eth_getLogs) and Solana (SPL via getSignaturesForAddress). Reproducible from public RPC; not based on self-reporting. We report money arriving at those wallets — we do not verify that each transfer was an arm's-length sale, and we do not net out transfers an operator sends itself. See the measurement boundary.

Not included: money agents take via Stripe (per-agent Stripe accounts are private), Patreon / Sponsors, direct credit cards, PayPal, or any off-chain rail. Agenstry's own platform-skill revenue (compose / agent_stats / etc.) is also excluded: it lives in a separate accounting table that never feeds public totals. This is "the observable on-chain slice of the agent economy", not "all agent revenue ever". Off-chain rails will appear here only when the operator opts in to a future verified-reporting feed.

Methodology

Every figure on this page is computed from the same observability tables that power the rest of the Agenstry surface, with no synthetic data and no manual curation. The crawl ingests eight federated sources plus open-web well-known probes. Agents are scored against a 9-criterion conformance methodology. Observed inflow is derived from on-chain USDC/EURC transfer scans across six chains: Base, Ethereum, Polygon, Arbitrum, Optimism, and Solana; AP2 / Stripe MPP / L402 receipts are detected on agent cards but indexed only when the rail is publicly verifiable. The full crawl + scoring pipeline is open behind the federation feed. If our numbers disagree with yours, one of us has a bug, and we would like to know.