backtesting-arena

How hot is the Bitcoin market today? Daily 0-100 heat score for the Bitcoin market, aggregated from 8 components (BTC-Cycle, F&G, Altcoin-Season, Bullmarket-Ampel, Funding-Rate, Hash-Ribbons, Mayer-Mu…

Crypto cycle position — where are we in the cycle? Default BTC: point-in-time 9-indicator aggregation (Pi-Cycle Top & Bottom, Mayer Multiple, weekly RSI, 200-week-MA distance, halving position, Fear &…

Current BTC, ETH and SOL spot price — what is Bitcoin (or ETH/SOL) worth right now? Live USDT-quoted last price plus 24h change %, high and low from Binance. Use this to anchor the connector’s own ana…

Aggregate stablecoin supply (crypto-liquidity proxy) — is the liquidity impulse turning or accelerating? macro_regime only gives the 30d delta; this exposes the trend: current supply, 30d/90d change (…

Spot-ETF net flows (USD millions) — is the flow impulse turning or accelerating? The summary only gives point-in-time deltas; this exposes the trend: 30d/90d net flow, a direction label (inflows/outfl…

Is it altcoin season? Daily Altcoin-Season indicator (v7 Native-Filter methodology). Returns BTC-Dominance, Alt-Dominance, 4 Layer-1 signals (USDT.D, USDC.D, BTC-DOM, ETH-DOM), overall color (red/ambe…

How fearful or greedy is the market right now? Crypto Fear & Greed Index (alternative.me). Returns the current `value` (0-100) and `classification` (extreme fear / fear / neutral / greed / extreme gre…

Is this still a bull market? Bitcoin Bullmarket-Ampel current state (0-5 active stages). Returns active_count, a stages[] breakdown (each stage with key, label, active and `since` = first day of its c…

Are longs or shorts paying right now? Latest BTC perpetual funding rate, averaged across up to three exchanges (Binance, Bybit, OKX; 8h settlement cadence). Returns value, 30d moving average and Z-Sco…

Are miners capitulating? Latest Hash Ribbons indicator (Charles Edwards). Returns 30d and 60d hashrate moving averages — when 30d > 60d after a capitulation, signals miner recovery (bullish). [Free ti…

Is BTC stretched against its 200-day average? Returns the current Mayer Multiple — BTC price divided by its 200-day SMA — as spelled-out fields: date, mayer_multiple, price_usd, sma_200d (with sma_200…

What is the macro backdrop doing? Daily Macro Regime snapshot from 18 components in 6 tiers (Liquidity 30%, Financial Conditions 20%, Risk Appetite 15%, Crypto Liquidity 10%, Business Cycle 15%, Infla…

What does Bitcoin actually move with? Pre-aggregated weekly correlations between Bitcoin and 13 macro components (Fed Net Liquidity, VIX, DXY, Real Yield 10Y, NFCI, Yield Curve, etc.). Returns quadran…

Is the trend up or down, and how fresh is the flip? Daily Bitcoin market structure from 1000-bar Phantomflow adaptation (BTCUSDT 1d). Returns current_trend (up/down/sideways), last trend change timest…

Which price levels matter above and below spot? Reproducible Bitcoin structural levels on BOTH sides of spot, in TWO distinct provenance classes. (1) resistance/support: swing-pivot clusters — where p…

What is the options market pricing in? Latest Deribit volatility snapshot for BTC or ETH. Returns DVOL (30d vol index), constant-maturity ATM implied vol (30/60/90/180d via options chain), 30d realize…

How did market heat get to where it is? Returns the Arena-Pulse TIME SERIES: one row per day with date, 0–100 score and band, in ascending date order. Use it for trend, turning points and "how did we …

When did which classic top/bottom signal actually flip? Event log of discrete transitions across 13 declared signals: bullmarket_stage_1..5 (20W/50W-MA stages), pulse_band, hash_ribbons, mvrv_z_regime…

How has the cycle score moved over time? Returns the BTC-Cycle TIME SERIES: one row per day with adj_score and z_adj_score, ascending by date. Look-ahead-free by construction: a day's value uses only …

Has capital been rotating into or out of altcoins? Returns the Altcoin-Season TIME SERIES: one row per day with overall_color, BTC / alt / stablecoin dominance and BTC price, ascending by date. Use it…

How has leverage positioning shifted over time? Returns the BTC perpetual funding-rate TIME SERIES, aggregated across the available perpetual venues (Binance, Bybit, OKX), at the 8h funding cadence, a…

How stretched has BTC been against its 200-day average? Returns the Mayer-Multiple TIME SERIES (BTC price ÷ its 200-day SMA), one row per day, ascending by date. Values around 1 mean price sits at its…

Are taker buys or taker sells dominating? Daily SPOT taker-buy share for a Binance pair: taker-buy volume divided by total volume, one value per UTC day (0..1; 0.5 = balanced aggressor flow, above 0.5…

Is Korean spot trading BTC at a premium? Daily Kimchi-premium snapshots: Upbit BTC/KRW (USD-converted) versus the global BTC/USD price, in percent — one point-in-time reading per UTC day (~01:45 UTC),…

Which on-chain series are available? Lists all 62 available Bitcoin Research Kit (BRK) on-chain series across the groups pilot, sentiment, mining, supply, cointime, activity, liquidity (e.g. MVRV, NUP…

What does this on-chain metric read right now? Returns the most recent value of ONE on-chain series from the Bitcoin Research Kit as { series_id, metric_name, date, value }. Cheapest way to answer "wh…

What did recent buyers pay on average — and how far is spot from that? Latest BTC short-term-holder cost basis (realized price of coins younger than ~155 days, BRK brk_sth_realized_price), derived STH…

Is the market in profit or at a loss? It depends on which cost basis you ask. Puts the three BTC cost-basis measures side by side — Realized Price (unweighted), True Market Mean (cointime-weighted) an…

When were the halvings, and what followed? The full Bitcoin halving table: date, block height, reward change, price at the halving day, cycle peak (highest daily close before the next halving) with da…

How has this on-chain metric moved over time? Returns the full TIME SERIES of one on-chain metric from the Bitcoin Research Kit — date/value pairs in ascending order, with history back to 2009 for mos…

What happened at the last Deribit expiry? Max pain and how spot settled against it: max_pain_strike, spot_at_expiry, %-diff, put_call_ratio, notional. Plus up to 10 upcoming expiries, each with curren…

Does max pain actually pull price to the strike? Settled Deribit BTC options expiries with the max-pain level we compute per expiry, for measuring the convergence question: does spot drift toward the …

Do two independent providers still agree on the same on-chain quantity? Daily drift log comparing BRK against a second provider, per metric pair, with mean / max / outlier counts for the requested win…

Am I connected, and what can this key do? Returns auth status (key kind: oauth connector or bearer API key, tier), server version, current UTC time, and the rate-limit state (hour/day used, remaining,…

Which strategies can I backtest here? Lists all backtest strategies (key, label, plan, supported asset classes, primary indicators). Filterable by asset class and plan. Use this before calling arena_r…

Which asset universes can I test against? Lists all crypto asset universes (BTC, top-10 crypto, top-50 crypto, etc.) — the underlying pair-sets used by custom-report and universe-backtest endpoints. […

Which pairs are in this universe? Returns one pair universe in full: its id, label, selection rule and the complete list of pairs it currently contains. Use it to see what you are about to test BEFORE…

Which strategy and interval combinations actually performed? Aggregated backtest performance per (strategy × interval) cell. If `strategy` AND `interval` provided, returns detail with per-asset breakd…

Do entry filters help, and which ones? Lift analysis of entry filters (200WMA, Altcoin-Season, ATR-Volatility, Bullmarket-Stage) per strategy combo — baseline vs filtered CAGR/win-rate/drawdown. [API …

Does this strategy work better in calm or wild markets? Breaks realized strategy performance down by VOLATILITY PHASE (low / normal / high) per asset and timeframe, so you can see whether an edge only…

What are people backtesting right now? What is being backtested on Backtesting Arena right now — platform activity, NOT market sentiment. hotAssets, hotStrategies, trendingUp/trendingDown, assetDistri…

DEPRECATED — renamed to arena_get_platform_activity: this endpoint measures PLATFORM ACTIVITY (what is being backtested on Backtesting Arena), not market sentiment, and the old name made consuming LLM…

How did this exact strategy, asset and interval perform? Aggregated backtest performance for ONE specific (strategy, asset, interval) combination. Returns run_count, avg_cagr, avg_win_rate, avg_drawdo…

What would each entry filter have changed for this strategy? Per-(strategy, asset, interval) filter-effect analysis. Returns baseline-stats (no filters) + each observed filter-variant's stats with cag…

In which macro regime has this strategy worked? Historical backtest performance for ONE (strategy, asset, interval) combination SPLIT BY macro market regime (sweet_spot / late_cycle_warning / crisis /…

Which entry filter carries a real edge? Platform-wide aggregated analysis: how each Pro+ entry filter (200 WMA, ATR low/high/expansion, Altcoin Season, Bullmarket confirm/strict) affects strategy CAGR…

What are the strongest backtest results on the platform? Public leaderboard: the highest-CAGR backtest results across all users, with anonymized usernames, pair, strategy, interval and period. Answers…

Which backtests have I run? Lists the backtest runs belonging to the authenticated user — newest first, with id, strategy, pair, interval, date range and headline metrics per run. Use it to find a run…

What exactly did that backtest do? Returns the full record of ONE backtest run by id: strategy, pair, interval, date range, parameters, filters and the aggregate metrics (CAGR, total return, win-rate,…

Which trades did that backtest actually take? Returns the individual round-trips of one of your backtest runs: entry and exit date, entry and exit price, per-trade P&L and the running equity after eac…

What is in this shared backtest link? Fetches a backtest that someone published via a share link, addressed by its share_id — no ownership and no Pro tier required, which is what makes it the right to…

Is this strategy signalling buy or sell right now? Current signal-status (green/yellow/red) for a strategy on a pair+interval. Backed by the daily check-signals cron — needs at least one user with an …

Does this strategy survive an honest test? Backtest a trading strategy honestly — look-ahead-aware validation with Deflated-Sharpe-Ratio / multiple-testing correction (Bailey & López de Prado). Return…

How would this strategy have performed? Run ONE strategy on ONE pair over a date range and get the full result: CAGR, total return, max drawdown, win-rate, trade count, Buy & Hold comparison, net-of-f…

Which of these strategies performed best on the same data? Run 2–5 strategies against the SAME pair, interval and date range and return per-strategy metrics plus a comparison summary (best by CAGR, be…

Does this strategy hold up across a whole universe? Runs it against every pair in the universe. Pair cap depends on your API tier: Pro 50, Power 250 — Power covers crypto-top-250 in ONE job, and a sin…

Is my universe backtest finished? Polls an async job by job_id (created via arena_run_universe_backtest). Returns status (pending/running/completed/failed), progress_pct, pairs_completed, and once com…

Would a grid bot have made money here? Simulate a GRID BOT (buy-low / sell-high ladder inside a fixed price range) on historical candles. Returns final value, return %, CAGR, trade count, fees paid an…

Which price range should my grid bot use? Answers the question arena_run_grid_backtest deliberately leaves open (its own description says: treat range choice as part of the hypothesis). Returns TWO in…

Want a public link for a grid result? Publishes a read-only snapshot page (with OG preview image) for one of YOUR saved grid backtest runs and returns its URL. Pass the run_id you got back from arena_…

What would a custom report cost? Get a pricing quote for a custom report (universe-backtest PDF + Excel) without committing to a purchase. Returns price, universe size + preview, excluded pairs, and f…

Is my report ready? Poll the status of a Custom-Report job. Lifecycle: pending_payment → queued → running → generating → success/failed. Returns progress_pct, succeeded/failed counts, plus pdf_url / x…

Notify me when this signal flips? Fires when an existing Ampel-Config's signal flips (BUY ↔ SELL). Prerequisite: the user must have created that ampel-config in the web UI (`/dashboard/ampel`) — pass …

Notify me when the cycle band changes? Bands: (capitulation → risk-off → neutral → constructive → euphoric). Optional bands filter restricts to specific target bands. For the current band without subs…

Notify me when market heat crosses a threshold? Fires when the daily 0–100 Arena-Pulse score crosses threshold_above (upward) or threshold_below (downward). At least one threshold is required. For the…

Notify me when the bull-market stage count changes? Tracks the Bullmarket-Ampel active stage count (0–5). Optional direction filter (up/down/any) plus specific stages of interest. For the current stag…

Which alerts do I have running? Returns every ACTIVE subscription belonging to the current API key: id, type, trigger configuration, delivery method and expiry. Use it to see what is already running b…

Has anything I subscribed to fired? Returns all undelivered updates for the API key, then marks them as delivered. Call regularly to consume the polling queue. Updates contain payload with subscriptio…

Stop this alert? Deactivates one subscription by id, so it stops firing and frees a slot against the per-tier limit. Returns the deactivated subscription. Idempotent — cancelling an already-cancelled …

Altcoin screener ranking — which altcoins look strong right now? Today's CoinGecko Top-200 minus stablecoins and tokenized fiat, scored by a composite of 3 factor groups: Mean-Reversion (A), Tokenomic…

How does this altcoin score? Returns the Altcoin-Screener score for ONE coin, addressed by its CoinGecko id: the composite score, its group breakdown and — for Pro+ — the 9 raw factor values across gr…

Did the screener picks actually beat BTC? Equal-weight basket of the top-N screener picks, rebalanced every 14 days (grid anchored at the first snapshot — the `rebalance` block declares anchor and cad…

How volatile has Bitcoin been? Daily Bitcoin volatility time series: realized volatility (30d & 90d, √252-annualized, close-to-close) and ATR% (Wilder EMA-14, captures intraday range + gaps), on the s…

Is this pair calm or wild right now? Current ATR-based volatility phase (low/normal/high/expansion) per tracked pair, updated daily at 08:00 UTC. This is a single current state — for the time series b…

Which strategies suit the current volatility phase? Top-3 by historical win-rate for that phase on a given pair. Phase comes from the latest snapshot (arena_get_volatility_phases); minimum 20 trades p…

What knowledge objects exist here? Discover what Knowledge Objects exist: lists all published types + their subjects (with min_tier, api_path, seo_slug, latest as_of). Use this BEFORE arena_get_knowle…

What does the platform know about this subject? Fetch a versioned, explainable Knowledge Object by type + subject (e.g. type='market_regime', subject='GLOBAL'). Returns the current published envelope:…

What does this term mean here, exactly? Resolve a knowledge-platform term to its canonical definition (e.g. term='regime'). Returns label, definition (EN/DE), calculation, unit, source + source_ref, v…

Buy now or wait for the dip? Decision-math over the user's OWN assumptions (target/dip prices, probabilities, capital). Two modes: "compare" = expected value of Buy-Now vs Wait vs Split + the breakeve…

What happened historically after the Bitcoin cycle looked like this? Conditional forward-return distribution for a named preset cycle state — over N DISTINCT historical episodes matching that state (m…

Where would I add on a dip, and when is the thesis wrong? Frame a dip/accumulation thesis WITHOUT a recommendation. Given an asset (BTC/ETH/SOL), a named cycle-state preset and a thesis horizon, retur…

Is this backtest result real, or a lucky cell? Assess one backtest result against its neighborhood instead of trusting a single "+X% CAGR" cell. Given a (strategy, interval, pair) and YOUR result (use…

Do these two CAGR figures actually differ? Check before ranking them. Pass the two values as `a` and `b` (gross CAGR in percent, same basis) plus `axes` — which arbitrary choices went into them — and …

Where does price sit inside its trend channel? Mechanically fitted trend channels for a pair: log-linear regression over close plus 1σ/2σ bands, computed over three fixed windows at once (90/180/365 b…

What do the classic indicators read right now? Current RSI(14), MACD(12/26/9), Bollinger(20,2), ATR(14) and OBV for a pair — each with a PERCENTILE RANK against that indicator's own history on that pa…

How far above or below its moving averages did price stand back then? A measured time series, not an estimate. Covers six MAs (50/100/200-day and 50/100/200-week; weekly MAs are simple averages over I…

Should I take this entry? Answers it for one (strategy, pair, interval) in ONE call instead of seven. Aligns what each entry filter historically did to this strategy (arena_get_strategy_filter_effect)…

Several market snapshots in ONE call instead of one roundtrip per read. Batchable reads (14): spot_price, pulse, cycle, fear_greed, funding_rate, macro_regime, iv_snapshot, etf_flows, stablecoin_suppl…