PredictionMarketsPicks
mcp.so:predictionmarketspicks/predictionmarketspicks
Score: 90/100
Handshake verified by our own probe.
How to earn +10 points
Tools · 41
Use for "will the Fed cut, hold or hike" and "next FOMC meeting odds". Live Kalshi odds for each remaining 2026 FOMC meeting: the next meeting's full strike breakdown and days-until, the rate path, th…
Use for "is this contract mispriced" and "what is my edge". Give a Kalshi, Polymarket US or Novig price in cents and your own probability; returns the % expected-value edge and a BUY / SELL / SKIP rea…
Compute the optimal Kelly position size for a Kalshi, Polymarket US or Novig contract. Given your win probability, the market price (which sets the payout), your bankroll, and a Kelly fraction (full /…
Update a prior probability with one or more pieces of evidence using Bayes theorem. Given a prior and a list of evidence items (each with P(evidence | true) and P(evidence | false)), returns the poste…
Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds. Give one value and its format and get all three back (American odds carry no commas, e.g. +441 or -200). Use for "what is +150 as …
Paste a prediction-market trade history (or just trades, wins and average price) and get whether the edge is statistically real, how many trades would prove it, and where it leaks. The verdict reads n…
Use for "how does this price compare to history" and "is the market ignoring the base rate". Compares a market price with the historical base rate for a class of events: the gap in pp, a signal, and s…
Use for "price a same-game NFL and NBA combo" and "is this combo worth it". Pass nflGame ("NYG-LAR", "Giants vs Rams") to list that game's Kalshi legs — moneyline, spreads, totals, player props — then…
The PredictionMarketsPicks NFL power ratings — PWR for all 32 teams: points per game above an average team on a neutral field, where PWR = Off PR + Def PR + ST PR. Includes each team's rank and tier. …
Use for "who wins Chiefs vs 49ers" and "what does a -7 spread mean". Pass homeTeam + awayTeam (or game, or one team) for our QB-gated model line (raw power ratings if unscheduled), or a spread (home f…
Use for "where is the arbitrage" and "Kalshi vs Polymarket price gaps". Cross-venue gaps on the same NFL, NBA, NHL or MLB game: Kalshi against Polymarket US (the exchange US traders use, fees included…
The US macro-health composite (0–100) and regime plus the six category scores (growth, labor, inflation, rates, liquidity, sentiment). Returns the composite, the regime call and 2 category scores with…
Use for "gold edge today" and "oil or bitcoin trade signal". The Kalshi daily gold, silver or WTI strike, or hourly bitcoin strike, with the largest PMP model edge, as a ticket: side, entry price, res…
Use for "any edge on Kalshi", "where is the edge today" and "weather trade signals". Our model alerts on Kalshi — weather, bitcoin/silver/gold/oil, mispricings — with feed, tier, side, price, model pr…
Use for "which NFL games are mispriced on Kalshi" and "NFL win total, MVP or Super Bowl edges". Our NFL model vs live Kalshi prices — this week's game positions, season win totals, MVP and championshi…
Use for "best NFL props today" and "receiving yards prop value". Our projection vs the Kalshi "X or more" prop line: the contract, the YES/NO call, our odds and Kalshi's price for that side, the proje…
Use for "NHL predictions tonight" and "Stanley Cup odds". Tonight's NHL games on Kalshi — moneyline, puck line, totals, period markets — as Market · Model · Fair, starting goalies checked first. marke…
Use for "where is the best price on <player> receiving yards" and "is Kalshi cheaper than the books". Best price on every NFL prop this week: Kalshi (fee included) vs five books (DraftKings, FanDuel, …
Use for "where is LeBron's points line cheapest tonight". Every Kalshi NBA player-prop strike (points, rebounds, assists, threes) beside DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers, Fanatics, ESPN, Novig and Proph…
Use for "Knicks moneyline on Kalshi vs the books" and "cheapest place for the Celtics spread tonight". Kalshi NBA moneyline, spread and total beside DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers, Fanatics, ESPN, Nov…
Use for "Embiid's out tonight — who benefits?" and "who's out in the NBA today". Today's NBA absences from the official injury report, and for each absent star the teammates whose minutes, points, reb…
Use for "where does the model disagree with Kalshi on the Rams spread" and "biggest ladder gaps this week". Every NFL strike ladder — spreads, season win totals, player props — with Kalshi's price at …
Use for "is any NBA ladder mispriced tonight", "where can I make a market on Kalshi" and "does Novig or Polymarket US price this strike differently". Spread/total strikes priced out of order on Kalshi…
Use for "what is the ETH 15-minute market doing" and "which Kalshi 15-minute markets are open". Every Kalshi 15-minute up-or-down series (crypto, metals, energy, FX): window status, YES price, close t…
Use for "Kalshi NYC high temperature odds". Every open Kalshi daily-high strike in 13 cities: YES price, settlement station and source, the strict-comparison rule, close time, and the NWS forecast hig…
Use for "what will the Kalshi NYC high settle at", "has LAX already hit 75" and "which Polymarket temperature bucket is winning". Per station: the running max under each venue's settlement rule (Kalsh…
Use for "how accurate is your model" and "what's your track record". Every graded PredictionMarketsPicks signal per engine (bitcoin, gold, silver, oil, weather, NHL) and the daily editorial call (POTD…
Use for "show my fantasy team" and "what is Kalshi pricing my starters at". Give a Sleeper username (and a league name if you have several): your roster, each starter's opponent and kickoff, OUT and Q…
Use for "should I start Nacua or Adams" and "who does the market like more this week". For 2–4 players: the median Kalshi is pricing for each stat (read off his own strike ladder) and his anytime-TD p…
Use for "who is everyone adding off waivers" and "trending waiver adds this week". Sleeper's most-added players in the last 24 hours with what Kalshi is pricing each at this week; pass position, and a…
Use for "Kalshi perps funding rate" and "how much leverage on Kalshi gold perps". Every Kalshi perpetual future: price, 24h volume, open interest, max leverage long and short, funding cadence, and wha…
Use for "where does a 5x bitcoin long liquidate on Kalshi". Estimates a Kalshi perp's liquidation price and the % move to it from Kalshi's risk parameters (a 5x BTC long is about 8% away, not the 20% …
Use for "2026 Senate map" and "which Senate seats are toss-ups". Every 2026 Senate seat: holder and role, structure rating, forecaster bands where tracked, and the live Kalshi price (Democrat win prob…
Use for "who wins the Kansas Senate race" and "Michigan governor odds". Live Kalshi odds for one 2026 Senate, governor or competitive House race, by state, code, slug or district ("TX-34"): every leg'…
Use for "where is it cheapest to buy", "Kalshi or Polymarket US for the Bears game" and "cheapest venue for the Georgia Senate race". The same contract on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Novig as the cost t…
One NFL player this week — every Kalshi prop line, the best price across venues, and our probability at each strike. Free. Use for "is <player> a good play this week", "<player> props".
Why our model prices an NFL player's Kalshi prop strikes where it does this week: the projection, The Ladder's verdict, the widest published gap, and what the model does not account for (our number on…
Why our model prices one NFL game where it does: Kalshi price and market line, our win probability and its anchor, the model's lean in points, each team's offense/defense/special-teams rating, the QB …
Why we publish a call on one NFL player prop this week: the contract, the YES/NO call and Kalshi's price, our tier (and calibrated odds where measured), our projection vs the threshold, published or h…
Why The Ladder reads one NFL strike ladder (a game spread, a season win total or a player prop) the way it does: the read in words, where Kalshi's ladder centres beside our projection, the widest publ…
Every NFL player whose Kalshi prop price our model disagrees with this week, ranked, marked underpriced or overpriced with the stat driving it. Free, the complete list. The strike, price and size are …
Resources · 5
ui://combo-edge/card.html
ui://pmp/unlock/card.html
ui://pmp/price-chart/card.html
ui://pmp/ladder/card.html
ui://pmp/window/card.html
Prompts · 15
Every priced NFL player prop for the next slate across Kalshi and the prediction-market books, with the model's projection beside the price, plus the strike ladder.
Where the same contract is priced differently on Kalshi and Polymarket right now, net of fees, with each price labelled by venue.
The current 15-minute crypto, metals and currency contracts on Kalshi: price, time left and how recent windows settled.
What Kalshi and the futures market are pricing for the next FOMC decision.
The 2026 Senate map from live Kalshi prices, then the three closest races with every contract.
Expected value on a contract from its price and your probability, then a half-Kelly position size.
Where a leveraged Kalshi perp position gets closed out, and what funding costs right now.
Tonight's NHL games with the model's read beside the Kalshi price.
Stanley Cup odds on Kalshi and Polymarket (international) beside a 10,000-season sim.
Tonight's NBA game lines and star props, cheapest venue per side, Kalshi's fee included.
Tonight's NBA absences and how teammates did in past games without each player.
The day's macro read, the 15-minute markets and today's edge alerts, in one pass. The one to put on a schedule.
What the gold, silver, oil or bitcoin engine checked today: which bar held, how many strikes, when a setup last cleared.
Every graded engine and the daily call: wins, losses and net result, with the losing lanes left in.
One game, race or the next Fed meeting across the venues a US trader can use, after fees.
How to use
Claude Desktop or claude.ai: add a custom connector (Customize → Connectors; on Team and Enterprise plans an owner adds it under Organization settings → Connectors) with this server URL: https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp
Cursor or Cline: add to your MCP config:
{
"mcpServers": {
"predictionmarketspicks": {
"url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp",
"transport": "http"
}
}
}