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100
MCP live MCP 2026-07-28 streamable-http

Weather Markets Edge Desk

com.predictionmarketspicks/weather

Kalshi weather markets: live daily-high temperature edges, plus EV, Kelly and base-rate tools.

Watch this dependency Share evidence report
Uptime
100.0%
5 direct probes · 30d
Response
1805ms
last probe
Tools
8
callable
Resources
0
readable
Prompts
2
available
Primary URL
https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp
Score: 100/100
Handshake verified by our own probe.
pass Answers the MCP handshake 50/50
The handshake and the list calls succeeded on the primary URL.
pass Lists tools, resources or prompts 30/30
8 tools, 0 resources, 2 prompts returned.
pass 3 or more catalogue items 10/10
10 items in total; 3 or more earns these points.
pass Describes itself 10/10
94 characters; more than 30 earns these points.

Tools · 8

weather_board

Use for "Kalshi NYC high temperature odds". Every open Kalshi daily-high strike in 13 cities: YES price, settlement station and source, the strict-comparison rule, close time, and the NWS forecast hig…

weather_settlement

Use for "what will the Kalshi NYC high settle at", "has LAX already hit 75" and "which Polymarket temperature bucket is winning". Per station: the running max under each venue's settlement rule (Kalsh…

edge_alerts

Use for "any edge on Kalshi", "where is the edge today" and "weather trade signals". Our model alerts on Kalshi — weather, bitcoin/silver/gold/oil, mispricings — with feed, tier, side, price, model pr…

convert_probability

Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds. Give one value and its format and get all three back (American odds carry no commas, e.g. +441 or -200). Use for "what is +150 as …

base_rate_gap

Use for "how does this price compare to history" and "is the market ignoring the base rate". Compares a market price with the historical base rate for a class of events: the gap in pp, a signal, and s…

bayes_update

Update a prior probability with one or more pieces of evidence using Bayes theorem. Given a prior and a list of evidence items (each with P(evidence | true) and P(evidence | false)), returns the poste…

calculate_ev

Use for "is this contract mispriced" and "what is my edge". Give a Kalshi, Polymarket US or Novig price in cents and your own probability; returns the % expected-value edge and a BUY / SELL / SKIP rea…

kelly_size

Compute the optimal Kelly position size for a Kalshi, Polymarket US or Novig contract. Given your win probability, the market price (which sets the payout), your bankroll, and a Kelly fraction (full /…

Prompts · 2

weather-highs

Every open Kalshi daily-high strike beside the NWS forecast high, city by city.

size-my-trade

Expected value on a contract from its price and your probability, then a half-Kelly position size.

How to use

Claude Desktop or claude.ai: add a custom connector (Customize → Connectors; on Team and Enterprise plans an owner adds it under Organization settings → Connectors) with this server URL: https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp

Cursor or Cline: add to your MCP config:

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "weather_markets_edge_desk": {
      "url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp",
      "transport": "streamable-http"
    }
  }
}