Commodities Markets Desk
com.predictionmarketspicks/commoditiesKalshi gold, silver, oil and crypto: live 15-minute markets, perps liquidation, and model edges.
Score: 100/100
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Tools · 10
Use for "what is the ETH 15-minute market doing" and "which Kalshi 15-minute markets are open". Every Kalshi 15-minute up-or-down series (crypto, metals, energy, FX): window status, YES price, close t…
Use for "Kalshi perps funding rate" and "how much leverage on Kalshi gold perps". Every Kalshi perpetual future: price, 24h volume, open interest, max leverage long and short, funding cadence, and wha…
Use for "where does a 5x bitcoin long liquidate on Kalshi". Estimates a Kalshi perp's liquidation price and the % move to it from Kalshi's risk parameters (a 5x BTC long is about 8% away, not the 20% …
Use for "gold edge today" and "oil or bitcoin trade signal". The Kalshi daily gold, silver or WTI strike, or hourly bitcoin strike, with the largest PMP model edge, as a ticket: side, entry price, res…
The US macro-health composite (0–100) and regime plus the six category scores (growth, labor, inflation, rates, liquidity, sentiment). Returns the composite, the regime call and 2 category scores with…
Use for "will the Fed cut, hold or hike" and "next FOMC meeting odds". Live Kalshi odds for each remaining 2026 FOMC meeting: the next meeting's full strike breakdown and days-until, the rate path, th…
Use for "how does this price compare to history" and "is the market ignoring the base rate". Compares a market price with the historical base rate for a class of events: the gap in pp, a signal, and s…
Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds. Give one value and its format and get all three back (American odds carry no commas, e.g. +441 or -200). Use for "what is +150 as …
Use for "is this contract mispriced" and "what is my edge". Give a Kalshi, Polymarket US or Novig price in cents and your own probability; returns the % expected-value edge and a BUY / SELL / SKIP rea…
Compute the optimal Kelly position size for a Kalshi, Polymarket US or Novig contract. Given your win probability, the market price (which sets the payout), your bankroll, and a Kelly fraction (full /…
Resources · 2
ui://pmp/unlock/card.html
ui://pmp/window/card.html
Prompts · 5
What the gold, silver, oil or bitcoin engine checked today: which bar held, how many strikes, when a setup last cleared.
The current 15-minute crypto, metals and currency contracts on Kalshi: price, time left and how recent windows settled.
Where a leveraged Kalshi perp position gets closed out, and what funding costs right now.
What Kalshi and the futures market are pricing for the next FOMC decision.
Expected value on a contract from its price and your probability, then a half-Kelly position size.
How to use
Claude Desktop or claude.ai: add a custom connector (Customize → Connectors; on Team and Enterprise plans an owner adds it under Organization settings → Connectors) with this server URL: https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp
Cursor or Cline: add to your MCP config:
{
"mcpServers": {
"commodities_markets_desk": {
"url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp",
"transport": "streamable-http"
}
}
}