Prediction Markets Quant
com.predictionmarketspicks/quantFree, no key: NFL + NBA prop boards, NHL model, Kalshi vs Polymarket gaps, Fed odds, EV/Kelly.
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Score: 100/100
Handshake verified by our own probe.
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Tools · 44
Use for "will the Fed cut, hold or hike" and "next FOMC meeting odds". Live Kalshi odds for each remaining 2026 FOMC meeting: the next meeting's full strike breakdown and days-until, the rate path, th…
Use for "is this contract mispriced" and "what is my edge". Give a Kalshi or Polymarket price in cents and your own probability; returns the % expected-value edge and a BUY / SELL / SKIP read.
Compute the optimal Kelly position size for a prediction-market contract. Given your win probability, the market price (which sets the payout), your bankroll, and a Kelly fraction (full / half / quart…
Update a prior probability with one or more pieces of evidence using Bayes theorem. Given a prior and a list of evidence items (each with P(evidence | true) and P(evidence | false)), returns the poste…
Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds. Give one value and its format and get all three back (American odds carry no commas, e.g. +441 or -200). Use for "what is +150 as …
Use for "how does this price compare to history" and "is the market ignoring the base rate". Compares a market price with the historical base rate for a class of events: the gap in pp, a signal, and s…
Use for "price a same-game NFL combo" and "is this combo worth it". Pass nflGame ("NYG-LAR", "Giants vs Rams") to list that game's Kalshi legs — moneyline, spreads, totals, player props — then legIds …
The PredictionMarketsPicks NFL power ratings — PWR for all 32 teams: points per game above an average team on a neutral field, where PWR = Off PR + Def PR + ST PR. Includes each team's rank and tier. …
Use for "who wins Chiefs vs 49ers" and "what does a -7 spread mean". Pass homeTeam + awayTeam (or game, or one team) for our QB-gated model line (raw power ratings if unscheduled), or a spread (home f…
Use for "where is the arbitrage" and "Kalshi vs Polymarket price gaps". Cross-venue gaps on the same sports contract (NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB) against Polymarket's international book: the gap in pp, the WA…
The US macro-health composite (0–100) and regime plus the six category scores (growth, labor, inflation, rates, liquidity, sentiment). Returns the composite, the regime call and 2 category scores with…
Use for "gold edge today" and "oil or bitcoin trade signal". The Kalshi daily gold, silver or WTI strike, or hourly bitcoin strike, with the largest PMP model edge, as a ticket: side, entry price, res…
Scan Polymarket contracts for mispricings against the PMP model (a probability swarm). Returns each market where the model disagrees with the price, the direction to take, the edge in percentage point…
Use for "any edge on Kalshi" and "weather trade signals". Our model alerts on Kalshi — weather, bitcoin/silver/gold/oil, mispricings — with feed, tier, side, price, model probability, edge and link. R…
Use for "which NFL games are mispriced on Kalshi" and "NFL win total, MVP or Super Bowl edges". Our NFL model vs live Kalshi prices — this week's game positions, season win totals, MVP and championshi…
Use for "best NFL props today" and "receiving yards prop value". Our projection vs the Kalshi "X or more" prop line: the contract, the YES/NO call, our odds and Kalshi's price for that side, the proje…
Use for "NHL predictions tonight" and "Stanley Cup odds". Tonight's NHL games on Kalshi — moneyline, puck line, totals, period markets — as Market · Model · Fair, starting goalies checked first. marke…
Use for "where is the best price on <player> receiving yards" and "is Kalshi cheaper than the books". Best price on every NFL prop this week: Kalshi (fee included) vs five books (DraftKings, FanDuel, …
Use for "where is LeBron's points line cheapest tonight". Every Kalshi NBA player-prop strike (points, rebounds, assists, threes) beside DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers, Fanatics, ESPN, Novig and Proph…
Use for "Knicks moneyline on Kalshi vs the books" and "cheapest place for the Celtics spread tonight". Kalshi NBA moneyline, spread and total beside DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers, Fanatics, ESPN, Nov…
Use for "Embiid's out tonight — who benefits?" and "who's out in the NBA today". Today's NBA absences from the official injury report, and for each absent star the teammates whose minutes, points, reb…
Use for "where does the model disagree with Kalshi on the Rams spread" and "biggest ladder gaps this week". Every NFL strike ladder — spreads, season win totals, player props — with Kalshi's price at …
Use for "is any CFB ladder mispriced" and "where can I make a market on Kalshi". Kalshi college football and NFL spread/total strikes priced out of order: locked arbitrage, crossed-mid inversions and …
Use for "what is the ETH 15-minute market doing" and "which Kalshi 15-minute markets are open". Every Kalshi 15-minute up-or-down series — crypto, metals, energy, FX — with window status, YES price, c…
Use for "Kalshi NYC high temperature odds". Every open Kalshi daily-high strike in 13 cities: YES price, settlement station and source, the strict-comparison rule, close time, and the NWS forecast hig…
Use for "how accurate is your model" and "what's your track record". Every graded PredictionMarketsPicks signal per engine (bitcoin, gold, silver, oil, weather, NHL) and the daily editorial call (POTD…
Use for "show my fantasy team" and "what is Kalshi pricing my starters at". Give a Sleeper username (and a league name if you have several): your roster, each starter's opponent and kickoff, OUT and Q…
Use for "should I start Nacua or Adams" and "who does the market like more this week". For 2–4 players: the median Kalshi is pricing for each stat (read off his own strike ladder) and his anytime-TD p…
Use for "who is everyone adding off waivers" and "trending waiver adds this week". Sleeper's most-added players in the last 24 hours with what Kalshi is pricing each at this week; pass position, and a…
Use for "Kalshi perps funding rate" and "how much leverage on Kalshi gold perps". Every Kalshi perpetual future: price, 24h volume, open interest, max leverage long and short, funding cadence, and wha…
Use for "where does a 5x bitcoin long liquidate on Kalshi". Estimates a Kalshi perp's liquidation price and the % move to it from Kalshi's risk parameters (a 5x BTC long is about 8% away, not the 20% …
Use for "2026 Senate map" and "which Senate seats are toss-ups". Every 2026 Senate seat: holder and role, structure rating, forecaster bands where tracked, and the live Kalshi price (Democrat win prob…
Use for "who wins the Kansas Senate race" and "Michigan governor odds". Live Kalshi odds for one 2026 Senate, governor or competitive House race, by state, code, slug or district ("TX-34"): every leg'…
In season: this week's QB/RB/WR/TE rankings by the median Kalshi prices each player at (pass/rush/rec yds), plus anytime-TD price. Free. (Draft board returns in 2027.)
In season: where the best available PRICE is on this week's NFL props — strikes where Kalshi and the book consensus are 5¢+ apart. Free.
One NFL player this week — every Kalshi prop line, the best price across venues, and our probability at each strike. Free. Use for "is <player> a good play this week", "<player> props".
Why the PredictionMarketsPicks model prices an NFL player's Kalshi prop strikes where it does this week: the projection, The Ladder's verdict (SHAPE, LOCATION, PRICED or market-only), the widest publi…
Why the PredictionMarketsPicks model prices one NFL game where it does: the Kalshi price and market line, our published win probability and what it is anchored to, the model's own line as a lean in po…
Why PredictionMarketsPicks publishes a call on one NFL player prop this week: the Kalshi contract, the YES/NO call and Kalshi's price for that side, our tier and — where our probability is measured ca…
Why PredictionMarketsPicks' Ladder reads one NFL strike ladder the way it does — a game's spread, a team's season win total, or a player's prop: the read (SHAPE, LOCATION, PRICED, MARKET READ or QB HO…
Compare 2–4 NFL players this week: every Kalshi prop strike each has, the best price per side across venues, our probability where we publish one, and a ranked verdict on whose price the model disagre…
Every NFL player whose Kalshi prop price the PredictionMarketsPicks model disagrees with this week, ranked, each marked underpriced (model above the market) or overpriced (model below) with the stat d…
In season: the Kalshi props listed on the players you name (2–4), with the best price per strike. Free. Pass roster: ['Player A', 'Player B'].
In season: Kalshi vs book-consensus gaps on this week's NFL props, widest first, filter by position. Free. (ADP gaps return in the 2027 offseason.)
Resources · 5
ui://combo-edge/card.html
ui://pmp/unlock/card.html
ui://pmp/price-chart/card.html
ui://pmp/ladder/card.html
ui://pmp/window/card.html
Prompts · 8
Every priced NFL player prop for the next slate across Kalshi and the prediction-market books, with the model's projection beside the price, plus the strike ladder.
Where the same contract is priced differently on Kalshi and Polymarket right now, net of fees, with each price labelled by venue.
The current 15-minute crypto, metals and currency contracts on Kalshi: price, time left and how recent windows settled.
What Kalshi and the futures market are pricing for the next FOMC decision.
The 2026 Senate map from live Kalshi prices, then the three closest races with every contract.
Expected value on a contract from its price and your probability, then a half-Kelly position size.
Where a leveraged Kalshi perp position gets closed out, and what funding costs right now.
Tonight's NHL games with the model's read beside the Kalshi price.
How to use
Add to your Claude Desktop / Cursor / Cline MCP config:
{
"mcpServers": {
"prediction_markets_quant": {
"url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp?via=registry",
"transport": "streamable-http"
}
}
}